Part II discusses the connection between intelligence and important social problems in America. It shows that cognitive ability affects how people behave, with higher intelligence often leading to more positive behaviors and lower intelligence linked to negative actions. However, intelligence usually explains only a small part of why people behave the way they do, often less than 10 percent. Even so, differences in average intelligence can result in significant changes in group behavior. The idea is that intelligence is an important factor in understanding issues like irresponsible parenting and unemployment, which social scientists have mostly overlooked. The upcoming sections will present detailed data and analysis to support these ideas.
The National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) is an important study that helps researchers understand the connections between cognitive ability and social or economic issues. Before this survey, there were not clear answers to questions about how cognitive skills relate to problems like illegitimacy or poverty. Other studies provided some information, but they often did not have enough detail. Started in 1979, the NLSY included about 12,700 young people aged 14 to 22, chosen to represent different groups, including minorities and low-income whites. This survey collects information about childhood experiences, education, work history, family life, and importantly, cognitive skills. One major advantage of the NLSY is that it includes scores from the Armed Forces Qualification Test (AFQT), which is a good way to measure general cognitive ability. The results from the NLSY are reliable and can be applied to understand trends in the wider U.S. youth population. The analysis will use data collected until the 1990 interview wave.
Cognitive classes are divided into five categories: very high, high, mid, low, and very low. These classes are set at the 5th, 25th, 75th, and 95th percentiles of a normal distribution, focusing on the extremes instead of equal segments. The top cognitive class includes the top 5 percent of the population, while the middle class consists of 50 percent. Each class has specific labels, with some chosen to sound less negative, such as "very dull" for the lowest class instead of "retarded." The labels reflect the challenges of defining cognitive abilities neutrally.
Regression analysis is an important method used in social sciences to understand how different factors relate to one another. It helps researchers explain how independent variables, like cognitive ability, affect a dependent variable, such as behaviors like crime or unemployment. This analysis shows how much one factor, like IQ, influences another while considering other factors that might also play a role, like socioeconomic status (SES), which combines parents' education, income, and job prestige.
Researchers start by examining the direct link between cognitive ability and behavior. After seeing a connection, they ask what other factors might explain that relationship. If IQ significantly affects a behavior, even when considering SES, it can provide valuable insights for society.
A variable is something that can have different values. Some people confuse this term because it suggests constant change, but it simply means that it varies among different people. Regression analysis has limitations, especially regarding cause and effect. Critics might say that if researchers don't consider other important factors, their findings about intelligence and behavior could be wrong.
Education makes this analysis more complex because it is influenced by both cognitive ability and socioeconomic background. Education can affect how someone lives their life, but understanding its impact separately from IQ can be tricky. To handle this, researchers often compare groups of people with the same education level, like those with just a high school diploma versus those with a bachelor's degree, to better identify how cognitive ability matters when education is equal.
In future chapters, the focus will be on various social behaviors, mainly looking at non-Latino whites, to show how cognitive ability influences these behaviors regardless of race or ethnicity.