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SPURIOUS REALISM AND THE REQUIRED COURAGE TO CONSIDER UTOPIA

The discussion focuses on the difficulties of understanding and managing complex social systems, referred to as spontaneous orders. These systems are intricate, making it hard to predict how they will respond to changes and what specific actions are needed to restore balance after disruptions. This uncertainty often leads people to call for government intervention, believing someone should be responsible for managing the adjustments.

However, it is more helpful to understand the general nature of spontaneous orders rather than trying to grasp every detail, which is often not possible. Effective understanding should be based on constructing mental models rather than solely relying on observing individual facts. The idea that focusing only on specific observations can support effective actions is misleading and can lead to policies that overlook the bigger picture.

Although utopias—idealized visions of society—may seem unrealistic, they are crucial for guiding rational policies and aiming for a better social order. Maintaining a vision of such an ideal is vital for making meaningful progress, even if that ideal cannot be fully achieved. The key is to strike a balance between acknowledging the complexities of social systems and aspiring toward an improved society.